To burn or not to burn? That is the question facing African countries in their fight against the multimillion-dollar illegal ivory trade.
Kenya, which introduced the world to burning ivory in 1989, still thinks it's a good idea. On Saturday morning, it hosted the most spectacular burn event yet: The tusks of nearly 7,000 elephants — 105 metric tons' worth — were set alight in 11 separate pyres in Nairobi's National Park.
The tusks, taken from elephants that were poached as well as from those that died naturally, were collected from Kenya's parks and confiscated at its ports.
The haul represents the bulk of Kenya's entire ivory stockpile. In addition, a 1.5-ton basket of rhino horn was set on fire. All told, more than $300 million worth of contraband went up in flames.
"Kenya is leading the way in saying that ivory has no value, unless it's on an elephant," says Robin Hollister, an engineer and pyrotechnics expert, as he adjusts the knobs on an air compressor.
In a vast, muddy field in Nairobi's National Park, about a week before the big burn, Hollister was testing the pipes that today sent a mix of kerosene and diesel squirting at high pressure under each pyre. Ivory is not flammable, so the process is akin to cremation.
"Of course, you could destroy ivory by bringing in a stone crusher," Hollister shrugs. "It would be much easier. But it wouldn't be as dramatic."
Not everyone appreciates the drama.
Seretse Khama Ian Khama, the president of Botswana, boycotted Kenya's burn as sending "the wrong message." Botswana has more elephants than Kenya, and has been more successful at conserving them.
Still, Kenya has made recent strides against poaching, which is down by 80 percent since 2013. But even as Kenya's elephants enjoy improved protection, Kenya's port officials can sometimes enable the ivory trade.
Wildlife trade expert Esmond Bradley Martin says that smuggling routes have shifted from West African ports to East African — in Kenya and Tanzania, mostly. Kitili Mbathi, the Director General of Kenya Wildlife Service, admits that the Kenyan port of Mombasa is the "weak link," where corruption allows shipments of ivory tusks to China.
Mike Norton Griffiths, a longtime Kenyan resident who researches the economics of conservation, has a different concern about the ivory burn: What happens to the ivory market when you effectively remove this much — his estimate is 5 percent — of the world supply at one time?
"Look what happened when Iraq went offline with its oil" during the Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s, he notes. "That was 5 percent of the market. Oil prices shot through the roof!"
Higher ivory prices could lure more poachers to get into the trade and hunt more elephants, he and others warn.
A number of prominent conservationists disagree.
Kenya's very first ivory burn — of 12 tons of ivory — helped lead to significant changes in global policy on the ivory trade.
Paula Kahumbu, the Kenyan CEO of the conservation group WildlifeDirect, says that keeping ivory locked in Kenya's vaults is a far more dangerous temptation to illegal traders than the higher prices Griffiths warns of.
"If you're a dealer and you need a ton of ivory, where is the hugest place to go?" Kahumbu says. "It's not to go hunting [elephants]. That's actually quite risky, to go hunting animals. Actually, if you can raid a stockpile by bribing the guy who has the key, that's going to be the fastest way that you can get your ivory."
Kahumbu's group has documented how ivory tusks go missing from African vaults or courtroom exhibit rooms and end up right back on the ivory market, because of corruption.
Stop Ivory, another wildlife conservation group, helped organize Saturday's burn, in which several African heads of state took part.
"It will be a pleasure to burn it," Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta wrote in an editorial on Friday, "and do my part to destroy any possibility that poachers and their accomplices might benefit from the slaughter of Kenya's elephants."
If ivory is to be destroyed, Kenyan officials reason, then it should be done in as public a ceremony as possible. Today's burn was timed to coincide with a continental summit on elephant conservation, so that other African dignitaries and heads of state could participate and show their contempt for the ivory trade. (One of burn-master Hollister's many jobs was an act of diplomacy — to make sure that no ivory pyre burned higher than the one the Kenyan president lit.)
But beyond the theatrics, the question is whether the anti-ivory message will sway buyers in the world's biggest ivory market — China. Does public shaming work on Chinese buyers?
"No," says Hongxiang Huang, the CEO of China House, a foundation in Nairobi to help Chinese living in Africa integrate. "With Chinese, that [shame] strategy is one that I would strongly advise not to use."
Huang worries that finger-wagging on ivory only politicizes the issue and plays into Chinese fears that their country is being undermined by Western NGOs and governments. Already, Huang says, many Chinese see ivory as an issue that the West uses as an excuse to criticize China.
The anti-ivory messages are stronger when they come from China's own leaders. Last year, China agreed to phase out its domestic ivory trade. The price of ivory dropped by almost half, even though no timeline for implementing the ban was given. Kahumbu says that was a bigger price drop than today's burn — or any burn, for that matter — could hope to achieve.
But Huang says the good news, from his perspective, is that most of the audience in China who happen to watch this burn on TV probably won't see it as the shame message it's intended to be.
"I think the burn will just be perceived [as demonstrating] that more and more governments are trying to phase this out and get out of this market," he says. "So it's something that is just fading away."
That may prove to be the most powerful incentive to abandon ivory, he suggests. One thing that proud Chinese people don't want to be, these days, is behind the times.
SCOTT SIMON, HOST:
There's a debate among conservationists about how to save elephants. The government in Kenya believes that destroying ivory stocks can shame buyers whose demand for ivory carvings drives poachers to hunt wildlife. So today Kenya is burning the tusks of nearly 7,000 elephants. But as NPR's Gregory Warner reports, today's display just amplifies the question, to burn or not burn?
GREGORY WARNER, BYLINE: In the not burn camp is Mike Norton-Griffiths. He's a long-term Kenyan resident who researches the economics of conservation. I met him at a panel in Nairobi where he argued that ivory burns are just for show.
MIKE NORTON-GRIFFITHS: So I have the horrible feeling that Kenya is going into this with no clear idea if it's going to have an influence on anyone except the world press.
WARNER: The president of Botswana is boycotting Kenya's burn as, quote, "sending the wrong message." Botswana has more elephants than Kenya and has been more successful at conserving them. But beyond the arguments over the symbolism of this burn is a deeper question. What happens when you burn this much ivory all at once - 105 tons of ivory collected at Kenya's parks or confiscated at its ports. Norton-Griffiths says that's about 5 percent of all the ivory in the world that not currently on an elephant.
NORTON-GRIFFITHS: Now, in a sort of commodity market like ivory or any commodity market, that is a major perturbation to reduce stock levels by 5 percent. Look what happened when Iraq went offline with its oil. That's - that was 5 percent of the market. Oil prices shot through the roof.
WARNER: Raising the price of ivory could encourage more poachers to get into the trade and hunt more elephants. Now, Paula Kahumbu is in the pro-burn camp. She's the Kenyan CEO of WildlifeDirect. She says that keeping this ivory in Kenya's vaults is a far more dangerous temptation to ivory traders.
PAULA KAHUMBU: I mean, think about it. If you're a dealer and you need a ton of ivory, where is the hugest place to go? It's not to go hunting them. That's actually quite risky to go hunting animals. Actually, if you can raid a stockpile by bribing the guy who has the key, that is going to be the fastest way that you can get your ivory.
WARNER: Kahumbu's group has documented how ivory tusks go missing from African stockpiles or courtrooms because of corruption.
KAHUMBU: It goes from the courtroom exhibit room back into the market. And we discovered this because the same tusks were being seized in different places - exactly the same tusks. So we demanded two things. One was an ivory stock take and the second was the destruction of the ivory so that we wouldn't have that risk happening again.
WARNER: Of course, you don't have to burn ivory to destroy it. You can crush it, as New York did last year in Times Square. But burning it in these ceremonies that are solemn as cremation sends an extra message, like splashing red paint on a fur coat. It puts death in your face. The question is will that shame message influence buyers in today's biggest ivory market, which is in China.
HONGXIANG HUANG: Does that work that if you want to change them you shame them?
HUANG: No. With Chinese, that's some strategy that I would strongly advise not to use.
WARNER: Hongxiang Huang is the CEO of China House. It's a foundation in Nairobi to help Chinese in Africa integrate. He says that finger-wagging only politicizes the issue and it plays into the fears of Chinese that they're being undermined by Western NGOs and governments. But Huang says that most of the audience in China who happened to watch this burn on their TV screens probably won't see it as the shame message that it's intended to be.
HUANG: Oh, I think the burn will just be perceived as that more and more government are trying to phase this out. So it's something that is fading away.
WARNER: And one thing he says that Chinese people don't want to be is behind the times. Gregory Warner, NPR News, Nairobi. Transcript provided by NPR, Copyright NPR.